Technical Market Summary – 10/8/18

2018 YTD Returns

S&P 500 (SPY) +9.5% (down 0.95% for week)

Core Bonds (Agg) -2.5% (down 0.94% for week)

Gold (GLD) -7.4% (up 1.39% for week)

Harbor Wealth’s Market Barometer

Our three proprietary Technical Gauges on the US Equity Markets are below. Investors can use this as a guide to identify the strength/weakness of the US Equity Market Environment.


All Green = “Clear”    1 Red = “Watch”     2 Red = “Caution”     3 Red = “Danger”



CNNMoney’s Fear & Greed Index – Oct 8, 2018:

Investors are driven by two emotions: fear and greed. Too much fear can sink stocks well below where they should be. When investors get greedy, they can bid up stock prices way too far.



Major Asset Class Insight

US Large & Small Cap Equities, Commodities and Cash are the only favored major asset classes to invest in long term.


Short Term Long Term
Bonds (Aggregate)  Bearish Bearish(Oct ’18)
US Large Equites (S&P 500) Bullish Bullish(Mar ’16)
US Sm. Equites (R2000) Bearish Bullish(Nov ’16)
Int’l Equities (MSCI EAFE) Bullish Bearish(July ’18)
Emerging Mkt Equities Bearish Bearish(June ’18)
Commodities Bullish Bullish(Sept ’17)
Gold Bearish Bearish(Jun ’18)


We continue to advocate a proactive stance in managing one’s portfolio as the most prudent way to preserve and grow capital, by capturing gains and limiting risks.

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