Technical Market Summary – 6/25/18

2018 YTD Returns

S&P 500 (SPY) +4.0% (down 0.87% for week)

Gold (GLD) -2.3% (down 1.26% for week)

Core Bonds (Agg) -1.9% (down 0.01% for week)


Harbor Wealth’s Market Barometer

Our three proprietary Technical Gauges on the US Equity Markets are below. Investors can use this as a guide to identify the strength/weakness of the US Equity Market Environment.

 

All Green = “Clear”    1 Red = “Watch”     2 Red = “Caution”     3 Red = “Danger”

 

 

CNNMoney’s Fear & Greed Index – June 25, 2018:

Investors are driven by two emotions: fear and greed. Too much fear can sink stocks well below where they should be. When investors get greedy, they can bid up stock prices way too far.

 

 

Major Asset Class Insight

Large Cap, Small Cap, European Equities, and Commodities all remain favored major asset classes to invest in long term.

 

Short Term Long Term
Bonds (Aggregate) Bullish-new Bearish(Feb ’18)
US Large Equites (S&P 500) Bullish Bullish(Mar ’16)
US Sm. Equites (R2000) Bullish Bullish(Nov ’16)
Int’l Equities (MSCI EAFE) Bearish Bullish(Dec ’16)
Emerging Mkt Equities Bearish Bearish(June ’18)
Commodities Bearish-new Bullish(Sept ’17)
Gold Bearish Bearish(Jun ’18)

 

We continue to advocate a proactive stance in managing one’s portfolio as the most prudent way to preserve and grow capital, by capturing gains and limiting risks.

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